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Optimizing Vessel Motion Prediction for Offshore Operations Using design parameters, 2D spectra and RAO

  • reinierdick
  • Dec 31, 2025
  • 3 min read

Predicting vessel motion accurately is critical for offshore operations, especially during crew transfers and heavy lifting tasks. Unexpected vessel movements can jeopardise safety, delay schedules, and increase operational costs. Recent advances show that using vessel hull dimensions combined with design parameters to calculate displacement Response Amplitude Operators (RAO) and wave spectra offers promising results. This approach helps offshore professionals anticipate vessel behaviour both underway and at offshore locations, improving operational planning and safety.


Eye-level view of offshore vessel hull with wave motion simulation overlay
Dashboard design for one of our clients

Understanding Vessel Motion and Its Impact Offshore


Vessels at sea experience complex motions caused by waves, wind, and currents. The primary motions affecting offshore operations are roll, pitch, and heave. These movements influence the vessel’s displacement, velocity, and acceleration, which in turn affect the safety and efficiency of tasks such as crew transfers, cargo lifting, and project cargo transport.


  • Roll is the side-to-side tilting motion.

  • Pitch is the up-and-down tilting along the vessel’s length.

  • Heave is the vertical up-and-down movement.


Accurate prediction of these motions allows operators to plan operations during periods of minimal vessel movement, reducing risk and downtime.


Using Hull Dimensions and Design Parameters for Motion Prediction


Traditional vessel motion prediction often relies on historical data or generic models that may not accurately reflect a specific vessel’s behaviour. By incorporating vessel hull dimensions and design parameters, predictions become more tailored and reliable.


Key design parameters may include:


  • Length overall (LOA)

  • Beam (width)

  • Draft (vertical distance between waterline and keel)

  • Hull shape and volume distribution

  • Appendages like azipods, retractable thrusters, skedges and more.

  • Shape coefficients like Cb, Cp, Cm

  • Stability curves (GZ)


Design parameters such as centre of gravity, metacentric height, and the position of any lifting appliances on deck also influence how a vessel responds to waves.


By feeding these parameters into hydrodynamic models, engineers can generate a displacement RAO for the vessel. The RAO describes how the vessel’s displacement responds to waves of different frequencies and directions.


Role of Response Amplitude Operator (RAO) and Wave Spectra


The Response Amplitude Operator (RAO) is a fundamental tool in predicting vessel motion. It quantifies the vessel’s response amplitude relative to wave amplitude across a range of wave frequencies. When combined with a 2d wave forecast—which provides directional wave height and period information—RAO enables precise motion predictions.


The process involves:


  1. Calculating the vessel’s RAO based on hull and design data.

  2. Applying the RAO to the wave spectra from the 2d wave forecast.

  3. Estimating the vessel’s motion in terms of roll, pitch, and heave displacement, velocity, and acceleration.


This method provides a dynamic picture of vessel behaviour under varying sea states, which is invaluable for operational planning.


Practical Applications in Offshore Operations


Crew Transfer Operations


Crew transfers between vessels or offshore platforms are highly sensitive to vessel motion. Excessive roll or pitch can make transfers dangerous or impossible. Using RAO-based predictions, operators can:


  • Identify time windows with minimal vessel motion.

  • Adjust vessel heading or speed to reduce motion.

  • Enhance safety by avoiding transfers during periods of adverse weather.


Planning Heavy Lifting and Project Cargo Transport


Lifting heavy or oversized cargo offshore requires stable vessel conditions. Predicting roll, pitch, and heave displacement and acceleration helps:


  • Schedule lifts during favourable sea states.

  • Design lifting procedures that account for vessel motion.

  • Reduce risk of load swings or equipment damage.


Multi-Vessel Operations Using JSON Databases


One advantage of this approach is its flexibility. The system can be easily pluggable for multiple vessel types using JSON databases. This means:


  • Operators can maintain a database of vessel hull and design parameters in JSON format.

  • The prediction model can quickly switch between vessels without reprogramming.

  • It supports a fleet of different vessels, improving operational planning across projects.


Indicator Dashboard for Real-Time Monitoring


Integrating vessel motion predictions into an indicator dashboard provides offshore teams with real-time insights. Such dashboards can display:


  • Predicted roll, pitch, and heave displacement, velocity, and acceleration.

  • Alerts when vessel motion exceeds safe thresholds.

  • Visualisations of upcoming sea state changes based on 2d wave forecasts.


This immediate feedback supports decision-making and enhances safety during critical operations.


Case Example: Offshore Wind Farm Crew Transfer


An offshore wind farm operator used hull dimension-based RAO predictions combined with 2d wave forecasts to plan a safe mobilisation and crew transfers. By analysing predicted roll and pitch velocities, they identified optimal transfer windows, reducing idle time by 20%. The indicator dashboard allowed transfer coordinators to monitor vessel motion in real time, adjusting schedules as conditions changed.


Summary


Using vessel hull dimensions and design parameters to calculate displacement RAO and applying wave spectra from 2d wave forecasts offers a reliable way to predict vessel motion offshore. This method supports safer and more efficient crew transfers, heavy lifting, and cargo transport. The flexibility of JSON databases allows easy adaptation to multiple vessel types, while indicator dashboards provide real-time operational insights.


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